2008 – 41 131 16 34 10 0 3 18 17 25 0 0 .260 .347 .405
Who saw THAT coming from John Danks tonight? Not even White Sox fans
in their right minds–on three days rest, throwing eight shutout
innings and more than 100 pitches? If you’d guaranteed me that before
the game I’d have laughed in your face. Whatever I thought would
happen certainly didn’t tonight, and the ultimate hero, without a
doubt, was Danks. He had issues early on with finding the strike zone,
but that was the case for both pitchers with a tight zone being called
on both sides. Able to fight off some tough calls he fought through a
trio of walks and what looked like a big double from Michael Cuddyer
to lift Chicago to the division title.
“Maybe this is justice, who knows,” he said. “Maybe this is the way
it’s supposed to be. The two best teams in the division all year have
to play one game to see who goes [to the postseason].”–Tigers manager
Jim Leyland
This is it. This is for October. One final contest with the world of
baseball watching to see who comes out the victor. Oh, and if you were
asking yourself: “Why are the Twins in Chicago for this game instead
of the other way around?”, you’re not the only one. The Twins are in
Chicago because of a coin flip. Apparently head-to-head results matter
nothing–huzzah.
Chicago White Sox (88-74)Home: 53-28 / VS Twins: 8-10 / VS Twins @
Home: 7-2CWS @ Home: .273/.347/.483 / 754 IP, 7.58 K/9, 1.24 WHIP, 83
HRCWS vs MIN: .289/.341/.486 / 155.2 IP, 6.65 K/9, 1.48 WHIP, 15 HRCWS
vs RHP: .268/.333/.444
Minnesota Twins (88-74)Away: 35-46 / VS Sox: 10-8 / VS Sox away:
2-7MIN Away: .270/.335/.391 / 707 IP, 6.03 K/9, 1.50 WHIP, 100 HRMIN
vs CWS: .283/.341/.440 / 156 IP, 6.00 K/0, 1.47 WHIP, 30 HRMIN vs LHP:
.277/.334/.401
John Danks: Danks started four games against the Twins this season,
three of those occasions were in Chicago. Only one of those contests
in Chicago saw him pitch effectively, when he threw five innings of
six-hit, two-run ball back on May 8th. Some of the Sox advantage for
playing at home disappears by starting Danks, although on the whole
the 23-year old southpaw did have a fine year.
Strengths: Good fastball with movement, strikeout threat, keeps the
ball in the parkWeaknesses: Familiar to opponent, experience, can get
away from his breaking ballRed Alert: Justin Morneau (1.675 OPS, 16
AB), Joe Mauer (1.381, 12), Michael Cuddyer (1.393, 12), Brendan
Harris (1.315, 10), Jason Kubel (1.500, 7)
Nick Blackburn: Sandwiched between three ultimately effective
September starts were two pretty bad ones, and they’ve thrown off his
numbers for the month. It’s been awhile since we’ve seen him at his
best. This year he sqaured off against the Sox five times, plenty by
any measure. Two met requirements for a Quality Start, but only once
did he allow more than three earned runs; on June 6th he allowed seven
runs on eight hits through four innings. Tonight will be his fourth
start of the season in Chicago, so at the very least he’s not walking
into this situation blind.
Strengths: Control, good breaking ball, keeps the ball in the
parkWeaknesses: Familiar to opponent, experience, recent track
recordRed Alert: Jim Thome (.929 OPS, 12 AB), A.J. Pierzynski (1.145,
10), Joe Crede (1.200, 10), Nick Swisher (.944, 9), Carlos Quentin
(1.067, 9), Juan Uribe (1.000, 9)
C X Joe Mauer is about to win his second batting title in two years.
Sorry, A.J., but you can’t hold a candle, in any aspect of the game.
Except probably trash talking.
1B X Paul Konerko is good, but not as good as Justin Morneau. For
years I was envious of a big, powerful first baseman. Not anymore.
X 2B This is a close one, because both Alexei Ramirez and Alexi
Casilla have edges in different categories. Ultimately Ramirez won due
to his power and better ratings for range in the field, but in the
long run I can see Casilla evening the score with high yearly OBP.
3B X If we were looking at Joe Crede instead of a bloated Juan Uribe,
this wouldn’t even be a conversation. But whether you’re looking at
Brian Buscher or Brendan Harris, I’d happily take either of them over
the all-or-nothing Uribe.
X SS X This is a split to me. Because while Nick Punto is maddening in
so many frustrating ways, he’s not only having a better year at the
plate for a shortstop than Orlando Cabrera, but if you pro-rate for
innings at the position Cabrera isn’t making that many more plays
outside of his zone. Also, Cabrera’s been a real dick lately. In the
end this isn’t a Twins advantage because Punto still doesn’t have
Cabrera’s range.
X LF This is Nick Swisher over Delmon Young and Jason Kubel combined.
In spite of a pitiful batting average, Swisher can still reach base
and hit the hell out of the ball. If Carlos Quentin were available,
this would be an across-the-board victory for Chicago, instead of a
categorical victory.
X CF I know Ken Griffey Jr. is having a down year, perhaps because
he’s getting up there, but in spite of his diminishing range in the
field he’s still a better and more reliable player than Carlos Gomez.
Gomez could neutralize this disadvatage by taking a couple of hits
away from the Sox in the gap or at the wall, but that’s not something
you can rely on.
X RF X This isn’t as big of a blow-out as I thought it’d be; I was
thinking there’d be no conversation here. But Denard Span’s OBP is 43
points higher than Jermaine Dye’s, and he’s markedly out-performing
him in the field. Dye’s experience and power forced an ultimate tie to
stave off what could have been an upset.
X DH Jason Kubel has had an excellent season, but he’s still no match
for the savvy and powerful Jim Thome. Not yet, anyway.
Bench X The Twins have a reliable backup catcher who can hit, and
Michael Cuddyer, and defensive versatility. The Sox have no Joe Crede
or Carlos Quentin which has depleted their depth, and Dewayne Wise as
the only option with good offensive numbers this year.
X Bullpen In spite of a pen that’s let them down recently, and game-
saving performances from Jose Mijares or Craig Breslow, the White Sox
are still edging the Twins here. Bobby Jenks, Matt Thornton and
Octavio Dotel make for a formidible threesome, and Joe Nathan is the
only Twin I’d rank above any of them. Sadly, this is not a comparison
of closers.
One way or the other, tonight should hold in store one helluva game.
For the 19th time this season…Sox VS Twins.
One last thing, for a slightly more…enthused…reaction to last
night, and expectations for today, don’t forget to check out . SSS is
the best Sox site on the net, and it’s got a rabid fan base. Check it
out.
This will be the third time I’ve done a series preview for a set with
the , the Twins were 57-47 (and losers of five straight, meaning
they’d been 15 games over .500 in the midst of July…sad how fortunes
haven’t improved). Amazingly enough, at that time the Twins were STILL
two and a half games behind the Sox. Since then Minnesota has gone
27-25; Chicago 27-25. These two clubs, who looked so promising as the
summer was coming into full bloom, have been decidedly mediocre every
since.
At 84-72, the Twins are just 7-12 in September and are doing
everything they can to let the White Sox back into the division title.
Chicago, meanwhile, at 86-69 is having an identity crisis of its own,
playing like a third place team with a 9-10 record this month. Sadly,
the Cleveland Indians mounted their charge too late; a 13-7 record in
September and a 23-10 record since August 17th is just too little too
late. It’s a shame too, because right now they’re far and away the
best team in the AL Central. Honestly, whether it’s the Twins or White
Sox that sneak into October’s post-season extravaganza, Cleveland
still looks like the division’s best team right now.
At any rate, the Indians will still be watching the playoffs from
their couches. This week it’s all about Minnesota and Chicago, and
thankfully there are no ties in baseball because one of these teams
will have to win the division whether they like it or not. Here’s the
side-by-side team glance:
Javier Vazquez: It’s been a bit of an up-and-down year for Vazquez.
After a bit of a career resurgence in ’07 he’s slipped back toward his
career averages again, particularly where baserunners are concerned.
He’s still more than capable of having a big night striking hitters
out, but we’re getting him in the Dome, and he’s a significantly worse
pitcher away from Chicago. With lefties getting to him easier than
right-handers, Gardenhire should layer the lineup with Jason Kubel,
Brian Buscher and even Nick Punto. With the uncertainty regarding our
starters getting out of the early innings, any offense is good
offense. I’d be starting Denard Span in center, with Michael Cuddyer
starting in right and Carlos Gomez getting the night off. Vazquez
throws a good fastball with movement in the low 90’s, a mid-80’s
slider, a low-80’s changeup and a curve that can tie hitters up with
the change in speed, coming in around 75 mph.
Mark Buehrle: Over his last four starts he’s been for Chicago, lasting
25.1 innings and allowing just six earned runs. Over the years he’s
been Mega-Man for Chicago against the Twins–he’s an arch nemesis
that’s familiar and leaves a bad taste in your mouth, and only a win
can wash it away until the next time. Much like Vazquez, he’s tougher
on righties and he’s tougher at home, which means that in a world
where I’m looking for any possible edge to give the Twins I’m coming
up with another easy one. No surprise to anyone, Buehre is having a
good season, but there are two things I’ve noticed that are much
different than last season. First, he’s throwing harder; every one of
his pitches has a bit of extra kick this year. Second, he’s getting
more ground balls (48.7%, up from 43.2% in 2007). For what it’s worst,
he’s 1-2 against the Twins this season–one great start and a pair
that he’d probably like to forget.
Gavin Floyd: Having the best season of his career, the seemingly over-
achieving Floyd has been a bit more human since the beginning of
August. The home runs have started to haunt him again, because while
his homer-to-flyball ratio is still far below what it’s been the past
couple of years, it’s creeping back up. With an average in baseball
around 11%, give or take a tenth here or there, Floyd’s back up to
12.2%. Looking at it another way, it’s 1.39 HR/9…and that’s not
good. On a bit of a skid and with the Twins (hopefully) breathing down
his neck, maybe the pressure gets to him; he’s still relatively young
in this league in spite of his service time, and he definitely hasn’t
been “himself” over his last few starts. If the Twins can get to him
early, they might have a golden opportunity. Just like Vazquez and
Buehrle, he’s not as sharp versus left-handed hitters (.828 opponent
OPS), so here’s hoping we see a lot of Kubel this series.
Paul Konerko: While it’s too late to turn around his season line
completely, he’s doing a fine job of helping Chicago out with his bat.
In August he hit .333/.483/.591; so far in September .298/.353/.600.
The nine homers he’s hit in that span (113 AB’s) equal how many he hit
from April to the end of July (175 AB’s). Under no circumstances
should he face a southpaw: .375/.412/.875 in September. Better yet,
since he’s basically a hitting machine right now, it wouldn’t be a bad
idea to pitch around him in appropriate situations. Otherwise, it’s
still important to be aggressive and have confidence in how he’s
pitched to; he’ll destroy mistakes against familiar pitchers.
Jermaine Dye: Seriously. I run out of good things to say about
Jermaine Dye. He’s 34, he’s hitting .290/.344/.542 with 32 homers and
41 doubles, and he just comes out and plays, period. He’s been a bit
off his game in August and September, hitting just .244/.286/.465, so
many there are a few more weaknesses that Twins pitchers can exploit
at this juncture of the season, but generally speaking he can’t be
taken lightly. This is a dangerous lineup.
Jim Thome: 33 homers, 125 OPS+ and no way he moves better than the Tin
Man from Wizard of Oz. Excellent strike zone judgement but still
strikes out a lot. Used to hit fifth until Quentin got hurt, which was
probably a better spot for him considering the options Ozzie Guillen
has for his lineup card, but he’s 38 and still a great cleanup hitter.
In any era of baseball, Thome would rake.
Dewayne Wise: A 30-year old journeyman outfielder who’s been thrust
into a center field job for a playoff contender and division leader,
he’s making the most of his opportunity. Wise is a career
.221/.258/.402 hitter in 443 at-bats over parts of six MLB seasons
between four different teams, but right now it’s simply that he’s the
Hot Bat. Since September 9th he’s 11-for-38 with four homers, two
doubles and a pair of walks, and as far as short term solutions for
the replacement of Carlos Quentin’s offense goes, that’s pretty damn
good. He’s an aggressive swinger who’s made good contact recently, but
with his track record he’s likely to chill out at any time–he swings
at 33% of pitches outside of the strikezone, he strikes out on 25% of
his plate appearances, and even in the minors he struggled until he
was old enough to dominate younger competition. In 12 minor league
seasons he’s hit .259/.310/.422. Of course now that I’ve played him
down, he’ll hit two homers this week en route to a 7-for-11 series.
Just my luck.
Ken Griffey Jr.: He’s hit fourth, fifth, sixth or seventh for the Sox,
and as much as I hate to say this…I’m glad he’s not tearing it up
right now. Griffey isn’t providing any more power for the Sox, belting
just one homer since coming over from the Reds. His OPS is .678; I
can’t help but wonder if all those innings in center field are eating
him up a little bit. Sure, he was playing in right in Cincy, but
there’s a lot more ground to cover in center, and a bit more going on.
And even though it’s The Kid, well, The Kid isn’t getting any younger.
W-L G GS CG SHO SV BS IP H R ER HR BB K ERA WHIP
0-0 15 0 0 0 0 0 15.1 16 3 3 0 9 10 1.76 1.63
3-0 54 0 0 0 29 2 57.1 47 16 16 3 15 34 2.51 1.08
5-3 70 0 0 0 1 5 64.0 45 19 19 5 19 75 2.67 1.00
0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3.0 3 2 1 1 0 1 3.00 1.00
2-2 47 0 0 0 1 3 44.0 36 16 15 8 8 35 3.07 1.00
11-8 31 31 0 0 0 0 183.0 173 67 65 13 53 150 3.20 1.23
1-0 28 0 0 0 0 1 37.0 29 15 15 1 13 28 3.65 1.14
16-8 31 31 1 0 0 0 194.2 174 101 83 30 67 133 3.84 1.24
14-11 32 32 1 0 0 0 204.2 223 102 88 21 47 131 3.87 1.32
4-4 70 0 0 0 1 4 64.0 52 34 28 12 29 88 3.94 1.27
12-14 31 31 1 0 0 0 200.0 202 101 96 23 58 192 4.32 1.30
7-6 20 20 1 0 0 0 121.0 130 64 61 12 35 70 4.54 1.36
4-0 21 0 0 0 0 0 25.2 30 15 15 1 10 22 5.26 1.56
2-3 54 0 0 0 0 1 42.0 55 29 26 5 14 42 5.57 1.64
2-5 11 8 0 0 0 0 42.2 55 34 29 5 12 29 6.12 1.57
1-0 6 1 0 0 0 0 13.1 19 11 11 4 5 7 7.42 1.80
1-2 23 0 0 0 0 0 19.1 27 19 17 0 13 8 7.91 2.07
0-3 15 0 0 0 0 0 11.1 22 10 10 0 8 2 7.94 2.65
I blame of the Ibanez sweepstakes. Initially saying they didn’t place
a claim at all, Christensen updated his blog later as it turns out
Minnesota did make a move, but were merely out-done by a team higher
on the waiver wire pecking order (also known as the Detroit Tigers).
What’s interesting about yesterday was that the Twins placed, and WON,
on Jarrod Washburn. As we all know, teams often make this kind of a
snide move in order to screw things up for another team, in this case
speculation indicates it was done to block a Washburn-to-Chicago
situation. That’s not a bad thing, it’s always nice to see the Twins
doing something proactive. But THEN came the report that Minnesota was
actually considering bringing Washburn and his hot streak to the Dome.
Says Joe C.:
In Washburn’s case, it sounds like the Twins did indeed win the
claim and had extensive talks with the Mariners. The Twins were
willing to take on Washburn’s contract, and Seattle could have
dumped it on them. But the Mariners also wanted the Twins to throw in
one of their current starters.
Over the last couple of months, Washburn had been quite effective. But
in the short (and long) term(s) I’m not sure how he fits, unless the
Twins were thinking about moving Glen Perkins or Kevin Slowey into the
bullpen. Which, again, doesn’t make all that much sense for either
Perk (there’s already a bit of doubt that the Twins would put a
legitimate reliever, much less a starter, into the ‘pen if he’s
“another” southpaw) or Kevin (he’s been pretty effective this year).
And of course there’s the whole snafu of having the Mariners still
asking for one of our four young starters not named Francisco Liriano
in return…although I have it through reliable sources that that part
of the conversation went something like this:
Bill Smith: Yeah, sure, we’ll take Washburn off your hands and make
him fit somehow.Not Bill Bavasi: Okay, cool. Oh, by the way, it’ll
take Baker, Perkins, Blackburn or Slowey to get him.Bill Smith: Up
yours, smartass. (Click.)
At any rate, at least the White Sox won’t be ending up with Washburn.
Unlike the Ken Griffey Jr. acquisition, he actually might have
improved their team.
Anyway, to wrap this up (sort of), insists the Mariners and Twins
could still work something out by placing Washburn back onto waivers
again…although this time that would mean he’d be irrevocable and
would go to the first team in the pecking order that claimed him, even
if that wasn’t the Twins. Either way it’s a no-lose situation for the
Mariners who would, at worst, save on dishing out the rest of
Washburn’s salary.
Personally, I have a hard time believing this organization will let
any of their starters walk for a guy like Washburn, but since Seattle
is the worst team in the American League they could work something
else out for someone on the Twins 40-Man roster, since they’d have
first dibs on waivers. And of course there are also those players who
aren’t on the 40-man.
No matter what Washburn’s cost, even if it’s peanuts, I’m just not
convinced wedging him into the rotation is the best thing to do. Even
thinking of October, I’m happy picking a three-man rotation from
Liriano, Baker, Blackburn, Slowey and Perkins (and probably in that
order, too).
Editorial Update: We offered Boof Bonser? No. No, not even for Boof
Bonser will I take Jarrod Washburn…like I said, I’d have a hard time
convincing myself it’d be a good idea for peanuts. Good lord, Seattle,
if we were foolish enough to offer you ANYTHING other than salary
relief…I’m not sure who gets Das Failboot points for this: the Twins
for offering Bonser or the Mariners for turning it down. Let’s just
hope this fiasco is done.
TT is an SB Nation blog of, by and for the fans. We strive to be the
best Minnesota Twins blog by providing quality content and analysis,
as well as daily news and notes on the team. We hope you’ll make
Twinkie Town your home for all things Twins!